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Home / Proceedings / Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media

Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities

February 1, 2023

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Authors

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo

ETH Zurich,ETH Zurich,New York University,University of Cambridge


DOI:

10.1609/icwsm.v14i1.7304


Abstract:

Crime has been previously explained by social characteristics of the residential population and, as stipulated by crime pattern theory, might also be linked to human movements of non-residential visitors. Yet a full empirical validation of the latter is lacking. The prime reason is that prior studies are limited to aggregated statistics of human visitors rather than mobility flows and, because of that, neglect the temporal dynamics of individual human movements. As a remedy, we provide the first work which studies the ability of granular human mobility in describing and predicting crime concentrations at an hourly scale. For this purpose, we propose the use of data from location technology platforms. This type of data allows us to trace individual transitions and, therefore, we succeed in distinguishing different mobility flows that (i) are incoming or outgoing from a neighborhood, (ii) remain within it, or (iii) refer to transitions where people only pass through the neighborhood. Our evaluation infers mobility flows by leveraging an anonymized dataset from Foursquare that includes almost 14.8 million consecutive check-ins in three major U.S. cities. According to our empirical results, mobility flows are significantly and positively linked to crime. These findings advance our theoretical understanding, as they provide confirmatory evidence for crime pattern theory. Furthermore, our novel use of digital location services data proves to be an effective tool for crime forecasting. It also offers unprecedented granularity when studying the connection between human mobility and crime.

Topics: ICWSM

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Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (2020) 339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities ICWSM 2020, 339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo (2020). Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities. Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, 339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo. Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities. Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media 2020 p.339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo. 2020. Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities. "Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media". 339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo. (2020) "Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities", Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, p.339-350

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo, "Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities", ICWSM, p.339-350, 2020.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo. "Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities". Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, 2020, p.339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo. "Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities". Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, (2020): 339-350.

Cristina Kadar,Stefan Feuerriegel,Anastasios Noulas,Cecilia Mascolo. Leveraging Mobility Flows from Location Technology Platforms to Test Crime Pattern Theory in Large Cities. ICWSM[Internet]. 2020[cited 2023]; 339-350.


ISSN: 2334-0770


Published by AAAI Press, Palo Alto, California USA
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