A New Perspective on Algorithms for Optimizing Policies under Uncertainty

Rina Dechter

The paper takes a fresh look at algorithms for maximizing expected utility over a set of policies, that is, a set of possible ways of reacting to observations about an uncertain state of the world. Using the bucket elimination framework, we characterize the complexity of this optimization task by graph-based parameters, and devise an improved variant of existing algorithms. The improvement is shown to yield a dramatic gain in complexity when the probabilistic subgraph (of the inuence diagram) is sparse, regardless of the complexity introduced by its utility subgraph.

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