An Extension of the Differential Approach for Bayesian Network Inference to Dynamic Bayesian Networks

May 2003

Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference (FLAIRS 2003)

Volume

Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference (FLAIRS 2003)

All Papers

We extend the differential approach to inference in Bayesian networks (BNs) (Darwiche, 2000) to handle specific problems that arise in the context of dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs). We first summarize Darwiche’s approach for BNs, which involves the representation of a BN in terms of a multivariate polynomial. We then show how procedures for the computation of corresponding polynomials for DBNs can be derived. These procedures permit not only an exact roll-up of old time slices but also a constant-space evaluation of DBNs. The method is applicable to both forward and backward propagation, and it does not presuppose that each time slice of the DBN has the same structure. It is compatible with approximative methods for roll-up and evaluation of DBNs.