AAAI Publications, Twenty-First IAAI Conference

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Estimating the Impact of Public and Private Strategies for Controlling an Epidemic: A Multi-Agent Approach
Christopher L. Barrett, Keith Bisset, Jonathan Leidig, Achla Marathe, Madhav Marathe

Last modified: 2009-04-09

Abstract


This paper describes a novel approach based on a combination of techniques in AI, parallel computing, and network science to address an important problem in social sciences and public health: planning and responding in the event of epidemics. Spread of infectious disease is an important societal problem -- human behavior, social networks, and the civil infrastructures all play a crucial role in initiating and controlling such epidemic processes.  We specifically consider the economic and social effects of realistic interventions  proposed and adopted by public health officials and behavioral changes  of  private citizens in the event of a ``flu-like'' epidemic. Our results provide new insights for developing robust public policies that can prove useful for epidemic planning.

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